Not One War but Three Wars in the Middle East
From a strategic perspective, the currently labelled “Iran War” is in fact three distinct wars, inter-connected no doubt, but with distinct aims and characteristics. These are: the US war on […]
Middle-East / North Africa
Publications
Commentaries
War on Iran: Tactical Success, Strategic Risk?
Today Turkey, not Iran, is Israel’s main strategic rival. If we agree on this, as strategists, the brilliance of the spectacular tactical display of military might, intelligence, and technology in […]
The Middle East and Central Asia now bound to the US by the Abrahamic Accords: Is Syria the US’ new backyard?
An overarching geopolitical question crossed my Byzantine mind as I methodically contemplated, across continents, the overlay of maps, with newly concluded treaties on the one hand, and geopolitical moves on […]
Commentaries
Bargaining Chips: The Gilded Tech Triangle of Riyadh, Silicon Valley and Mar-a-Lago
Donald Trump is visibly in his element when surrounded by gilded palaces, ornate fountains, and absolute monarchs. His bond with the Gulf States—particularly Saudi Arabia—goes beyond mere aesthetic affinity or […]
Stepping up Engagement in the Sahel: Russia, China, Turkey and the Gulf States
Over the past five years, since the latest wave of coups began in 2020, states in the Sahel have strategically realigned and shifted external partnerships. Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger […]
Silence in the Sahel does not Equal Stability
The Sahel is no longer on the frontpages. In the past few years – even in the past few months – the geopolitical context has changed radically. The Russian full-scale […]